The European siderurgy will improve his tendency in 2012
9 November 2011
The first semester of 2011 has been a favourable/favorable period in general for the siderurgy in general so much in the European market as in the Spanish, better that the same period of the year 2010 as they put of relief the apparent consumption and other indicators. The evolution of the second quarter, however, shows a better behaviour/behavior in other European countries that in Spain, a market in which already it has left notice the ralentización of the apparent demand, whereas in the rest of Europe have kept levels higher, according to the report of assessment elaborated by Josu Pineapple, general director of Ruukki. This siderúrgica keeps the black numbers although, to the equal that the rest of the sector, does not keep to 100% the activity of the installed capacity.
By sectors, the most active in the Iberian market have been the ones of automotion and renewable energies, gone on down the one of storage of grain with destination to the export. In fact, they are the industrial states oriented to the export of industrial goods and goods of team those that better sortean the crisis, as it is the case of automotion, whose 90% heads to the international markets. More affected by the crisis have resulted the manufacturers of appliances.
Comparing the first part of the exercise 2011 with the previous year, observes a very good first semester in automotion -sustained especially during the second quarter by the north demand European and other international destinations after the descent of the south demand of Europe- that desinfla in the third quarter, motivated by the frenazo of markets like the one of Germany, France and centre/center and north of Europe, in what it seems a clear desaceleración.
In the evolution of the renewable energies in Spain, Josu Pineapple signals that this industry has of a legal Frame until 2013, but the sector is expecting of the renewal of the Frame for the period 2013-2020, a needy milestone of agilización so that it do not produce an impasse. In his opinion “the renewable energies continue being an interesting sector in which it goes to be followed investing of face to the future, once delete the uncertainty”.
By his part, Public Works has gone down his activity, a fact that manifests clearly the descent of registrations in trucks of works and volquetes, around 35% in 2010 and that in 2011 goes back to register descents, motivated by the fall of the construction and the ending of some infrastructures that do not have continuity in the start of new works, what shows a negative perspective for 2012.
The forecasts of the last semester of the year for the sector siderúrgico show a desaceleración, with descent of the demand and need to adjust the offer, what carries to paralyse/paralyze the productive capacities, with the end to reduce the stocks and avoid that they reduce the prices. These adjust productive will allow concertar the offer to the demand and start 2012 with a more efficient structure.
In 2012 improvement the tendency
After the tendency of the forecasts of end of year of a descent of the demand, that comports of direct form the cut of stocks and production as well as a general uncertainty, in the first quarter of 2012 will recover sectors like the construction and others in Europe. The forecasts show a positive tendency of the demand and the prices.
The demand will go back to recover the levels of the first semester of 2011, although any sector repuntará in a sudden way. In automotion expects a first part of the similar year to the second of 2011 and an improvement for the second semester that asemejará rather to the first semester of 2011.
In addition to the stability in automotion, other markets have adjusted enough the capacity and will have a light recovery, more in other countries that in Spain, where foresees a growth zero.
Sectors that traccionan usually the demand of steel, like the automotion, the machine tool and other exporting sectors will improve in 2012 by the external demand, where observe markets that continue growing.
In Portugal do not appreciate movements in concrete sectors and have paralysed/paralyzed the infrastructures because of the cuts in projects. The country is immersed in the crisis from does several years and, although they are doing the duties, does not foresee a despegue in the short term in any sector.
For Ruukki, his greater percentage of sales in the Iberian market in 2012 will proceed of materials galvanised/galvanized for automotion.
Improvements for Central and east Europe
The quarterly Report of the Corporation Rautaruukki, given to know recently registers some sales of the group by amount of 2.079 million euros between January and September of 2011, with a growth of 18% on the same period of the previous year, and profits of 96 million euros. The net sales consolidated by the group for all the exercise 2011 estimate a growth of the 15 to 20% annual.
The Report observes a positive demand in Central Europe and East, especially in Poland and Russia. The best evolution has corresponded to the areas of construction and engineering. They registered a strong growth the sectors of elevation, teams of transport for the industry and teams of minería and for the work of the wood.